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20120925
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obama? >> according to the public polls, obama is doing really well in pennsylvania. maybe he's got some private polls that he's doing inside his campaign that shows some other trends developing in pennsylvania. i haven't seen any public polls that would indicate he's got a shot in pennsylvania. i also haven't seen any indication that the romney campaign is spending any campaign money advertising in pennsylvania. if they are, it is really not much. but as i say, maybe there is something that his campaign knows that we don't yet know because right now it looks like obama is doing really, really well in pennsylvania. and the surrounding states, new jersey, new york, or maryland for that matter. i think romney does have a shot obviously in some of the other states like ohio, not that far away, but pennsylvania looks like a long shot. he was doing some fund-raising there earlier today, had a rally in pennsylvania, but we'll see if this is serious, this notion that he potentially has a shot in pennsylvania. if he does, it would be a dramatic shift. >> wow, we heard, wolf, a lot of analysts sa
"wall street journal" poll. three more states now going into the obama column just a few moments ago. new hampshire, nevada and north carolina. in new hampshire, among likely voters, the spread is now seven points. margin error is about 3%. in nevada, it is a 2% spread within the margin of error. in north carolina, also within the margin of error, but now in favor of president obama. this is a state many people thought that could not happen in given especially the gay marriage debate, but these are the latest numbers we have tonight. obama is now leadinging in the latest polling from all nine battleground states. particularly a problem tonight is florida. the latest cbs poll shows obama ahead by nine points in florida. so, is this true? you may have heard about this. many on the right saying the polls are skewed. they're unfair. here is why republican strategist karl rove who knows polls and elections better than anyone says these polls can't possibly be right. >> think about this. romney and obama get each roughly the same percentage of the republicans and democrats as their opponen
cbs poll shows obama ahead by nine points in florida. so, is this true? you may have heard about this. many on the right saying the polls are skewed. they're unfair. here is why republican strategist karl rove who knows polls and elections better than anyone says these polls can't possibly be right. >> think about this. romney and obama get each roughly the same percentage of the republicans and democrats as their opponent. that is to say they carry their base overwhelmingly. romney among independents is winning by three points, so if romney's winning the independents and republicans, do you think in a battleground state like florida, he's nine points down? the answer is no. >> okay. that math doesn't actually work out because according to the florida poll, those who say they're most likely going to vote, 36% say they're democrats, 27% republicans and 33% independents, so as you can see, the math that karl rove laid out doesn't necessarily have to be so. let's bring in our panel here and talk about all of the polling here we do at cnn and how it works. cnn polls, one thing you may hav
. the romney campaign privately does not they think the polls awrong. they say the poll show obama leading by more than think he is. it's not they're saying the polls are wrong. when every national poll -- i don't think we can say -- when fox news' poll shows obama ahead in a bunch of swing states recently, i don't think we can say the polls are wrong and biased because fox news conservative leading. they show what the polls are showing as well. the president has a strong lead. pollsters have a strong incentive to have their polls be accurate, because that's what their profession is. i'm skeptical they're tries to missample people. the finding more democrats are anyway poll, when a democratic candidate is popular, more people call themselves democrats. that doesn't mean the poll is wrong. more people call themselves democrats than they might have been four or five weeks ago. >> let me bring in mark mckinnon. we'll bring you into this conversation. i want to start with something that newt gingrich said this morning on "morning joe." mark, let me play that. >> everybody i talk to agrees he's
, it's great to see you this morning. the latest polling is show that president obama is ahead, anywhere from five to eight points in virginia. that's where the two candidates will be today. romney is writing off all the battleground polling putting the president in the lead. he did so specifically yesterday on abc. take a listen. >> i'm very please wtd some polls. less so with other polls. but frankly at this early stage, polls go up, polls go down. i don't expect to get 100% of the vote. i know i'm not going to bet 100%. i hope to get 50 plus percent and make sure that i become the next president. >> as we look at this realistically, 40 days to go, we have gallup daily tracking putting romney within four points of the margin of error. the romney campaign and the republican super pacs have only just begun unleashing its ma massive campaign cash. can romney use the debates, use all of that money in reserve to reverse his fortunes going forward? >> well, we don't put much stock in polls, good or bad, at this point, particularly 40 days out. we are coming in to the debater isries
impact. tick-tock with 35 days to go. a new round of polling shows president obama now leads in nine key battleground states that could decide the race for the white house. the president holding a razor-thin edge over romney in north carolina and nevada. he leads by seven points by romney's home away from home, new hampshire. those poll numbers causing the clock to tick and grow louder thousand. the first debate is five days away. >> do you think that he has the ability as a -- >> having debated him 15 or 17 times, yeah. >> he's a pretty good debater, isn't he? >> he's a better debater than any of the nominees on the ticket. >> how much will the debates matter? with iowa one of 30 states castingle balan casting ballots by the end of the month? >> do you know that mccain beat obama on election day, and obama got it in early voting. >> things can change overnight with a great debate performance, but again, mark hallprin, time is running out. >> he's still behind in too many places to win. he doesn't have as of today an obvious electoral college path, and he's not going to make it up on the
. thank you. >>> coming up, president obama gaining ground in the latest battleground polls, but mitt romney doesn't seem worried. some republicans act like nothing's wrong at all. are they in denial? "the cycle" hosts join me next. ♪ ♪ fly by night away from here ♪ ♪ change my life again ♪ ♪ fly by night, goodbye my dear ♪ ♪ my ship isn't coming ♪ and i just can't pretend oww! ♪ [ male announcer ] careful, you're no longer invisible in a midsize sedan. the volkswagen passat. the 2012 motor trend car of the year. that's the power of german engineering. i just served my mother-in-law your chicken noodle soup but she loved it so much... i told her it was homemade. everyone tells a little white lie now and then. but now she wants my recipe [ clears his throat ] [ softly ] she's right behind me isn't she? [ male announcer ] progresso. you gotta taste this soup. wthe future of our medicare andr electiosocial security. for... [ clears his throat ] [ softly ] she's right behind me isn't she? man 1: i want facts. straight talk. tell me your plan... and what it means for m
at these polls overall, i think there's a little hype going on with the obama numbers. if you look at the rasmussen numbers, if you look at battleground states, he shows the race tied and if you look at a lot of these polls coming out across the country, romney and obama are tied with independents. that's a key indicator for your viewer to keep watching. if romney's tied with independents, then it's a question of the turnout model. every number i see shows republicans very enthusiastic. that shows this race continues to be tight and winnable for governor romney. >> jen, do you think this race is winnable for mitt romney? >> we're going to run in every state like we're five points down and we've always said this race was going to be close, so our message to our supporters is don't be complacent. don't rest on any polls. put your blinders on. keep focus on the playbook. we'll sleep and hopefully celebrate on november 7th. we know there's going to be twists and turns. it's a narrower path than i think we would like, but still, 38 days is a long time to go. >> she's got to say that, ri
, your internal polls for the obama campaign, do they show it like gallup, like cnn or tighter like rasmusen? >> well, we're -- >> come on. >> we're not focused internally or externally on the national polls. we're focused on seven to nine states, as i'm sure the romney team is as well. some, we're close, some we have more of a lead on. but it doesn't matter because we have 38 days to go and we need our supporters to turn out. it doesn't matter unless they cast their vote. so that's what our focus is is now. turning people out. it's already game day. early voting is happening and we need to keep our focus on november 6th. >> so, matt, what is it really about? i keep hearing, people are talking about getting the base out and that it comes down to the base. we had on one of the preachers saying it's all about the base. mitt romney needs to get the base out, but you said no, it's about those independents. those people who aren't on either side. am i saying too much to say you're saying it's not about the base? >> no, i just think people get confused with elections. they try to act like
's the daily gallup tracking poll showing president obama up six points in the points. maybe he wanted to focus on rasmussen. >> maybe rasmussen. john heilemann, you hear a lot of people -- not people inside the romney campaign because they know they're in trouble, and they're focused on it, and i think that's a good sign. but you talk to -- you hear a lot of people on talk radio, and you watch certain cable news channels, and they're screeching about how the polls are rigged. romney's people know they're in big trouble, right? down about ten in ohio. even the fox news poll shows romney losing in a lot of these swing states. they understand they're in trouble. do they believe they've got a chance to turn it around? >> they do and they do. they know they're in trouble and they -- you know, they have tried a little bit to play the polls or bias game in the last couple days. but pretty half-heartedly as far as i can see. you know, they argue that they're within the margin of error in ohio. a lot of people don't really understand how margin of error works. so you can be pretty far behind and still
until the election. national polls show president obama ahead by at least five points. i'll talk to some great minds about what needs to happen in the next seven weeks for both the president and the man who wants his job. >>> and a startling statistic. four out of five black women in america are either overweight or obese. but this group is bucking the trend. they're called black girls run. >> it's about defeating the statistics that are saying that, you know what, we're dying because of obesity and diabetes and heart disease. so, we all set? i've got two tickets to paradise! pack your bags, we'll leave tonight. uhh, it's next month, actually... eddie continues singing: to tickets to... paradiiiiiise! no four. remember? whoooa whooaa whooo! you know ronny, folks who save hundreds of dollars by switching to geico sure are happy. and how happy are they jimmy? happier than eddie money running a travel agency. get happy. get geico. fifteen minutes could save you fifteen percent or more. romney: "it's time to stand up to the cheaters" vo: tough on china? not mitt romney. when a flood of chine
look at the polls -- >> let me restate that. americans do care. is it going to move people from obama to romney? >> unlikely for two reasons. one is that the president is still seen as stronger on foreign policy. there's been some up and down, but in the latest polls he's still seen as pretty strong, and also people care more about the economy. i think governor romney has an obligation to talk about foreign policy, though. and the linkage is what i still think is their strongest case. why do you think the next four years would be any different than the last four years? primarily they've got to make that argument on the economy. i think making it on the arab spring and ton the middle east s not a bad political line. >> we'll get to the polls in just a second. i'll try this on you, john, do you think hearing paul ryan talk about president obama's foreign policy is going to move people from obama to romney? >> i'm not -- i don't think paul ryan matters very much, certainly on a foreign policy story. >> do you think it worked? >> i think there's a sequence of things that's going to happen
poll has mitt romney trailing president obama. the real clear politics national average show as four point lag. is romney letting this election slip right through his fingers? and importantly, why did he dial back his tax cut yesterday? if i don't know what romney's tax plan is, then i don't know how he's going to reach the middle class. in response to mirant last night and my it is pleasure with what mr. romney said, a key very senior mitt romney person calmed me today and says that mitt misspoke on dialing back tax cuts. and this senior person said mitt would like a mulligan and you know what, following beings, i'll give him a mulligan for now. but he has got to stay on message. and that importantly includes next wednesday's crucial debate. it could be his last chance. let's bring in our guest to comment on this. we have harry melver, steve moore oig and phil reducer. steve, i went off the rails and went off hfr-i was so angry at this wall street news story story. romney tempers tax plan, dialing back his tax code, suggesting that he's going to remove tax deductions from the middle
obama of brazil? but first here's my take. president obama has sewed up the -- surged in the polls this week, and republicans have been quick to figure out the problem. mitt romney. peggy noonan said his rolling campaign has been a calamity. shouldn't it puz puzzle us that romney's campaign is so incompetent, given his reputation for, well, competence. after all he founded one of the leading firms, turned around the salt lake city olympics and was a very successful governor. how did he get so clumsy so fast? in fact, the problem is not romney. but the new republican party, given the direction it has moved and pressures from the extreme, powerful elements, any nominee would face the same challenge. can you be a serious candidate for the general election while not outraging the republican base? fox news anchor brit hume refused to dwell on romney's economic policies he would put in place. why wouldn't mitt romney fluent in economics explain his economic policy? because any sensible answer would cause a firestorm in his party. it's obvious with a deficit of more of 7% of gross domesti
of instructive. right now president obama seems safely ahead in all of the polling. pennsylvania is actually the kind of state that mitt romney's promise a year ago he was going to be able to put into play the same way john mccain's promise was supposedly that. the reason why pennsylvania has become so solid democratic they've won in each of the past five elections is largely because the suburbs outside philadelphia, white collar, affluent, right of center economically, left of center social issues have moved decisively towards the democrats. originally mitt romney was seen as a candidate who could appeal to those voters. but he's not making many inroads there. as a result pennsylvania seems out of reach in any realistic scenario. >> he was doing some fund raising there. that may be the major reason while he's there although the aides are being a bit coy pretending they think it's realistic to get the democrats that are spending so much there. wouldn't be the first time. >> we'll see if they put any television money or time in that. >> let's see if they put up there with some money. you've b
Search Results 0 to 21 of about 22 (some duplicates have been removed)